Cai Weici, executive vice president of the China Machinery Industry Federation (hereinafter referred to as "China Machine"), said on the "2012 National Machinery Industry Economic Situation Report" on the 25th that "the situation is indeed quite serious", the growth rate of the machinery industry has basically bottomed out. It may not be obvious that the decline will continue in the future. However, following the downward pressure this year, the situation in the machinery industry will remain tight next year, and the whole industry still needs ideological preparations for a “tight day”.

Since the beginning of this year, the machinery industry continued its downward trend in growth rate last year. The six major economic indicators such as industrial added value, total output value, realized profits, foreign exchange earned through exports, product output, and fixed asset investment have all declined. At the same time, industry trends have been divided. Increased and more difficult economic operations; data show that from January to September, the machinery industry increased by 8.6% year-on-year, 1.3% lower than the national average growth rate of the industry, and the machinery industry increased by 12 in the industrial industry. The growth rate has dropped to 10th place.

A sampling survey of China Light Industry Corporation’s key contact companies showed that the cumulative amount of orders placed in the first nine months of this year decreased by 0.35% year-on-year, which was significantly lower than the increase of more than 20% in previous years. “The current demand situation is still very low. status".

"The growth rate of the machinery industry has basically bottomed out, and it may not be significant to continue to decline significantly in the future." Cai Weici said that the fourth quarter will continue to operate at the bottom at a low speed, and the whole year is expected to achieve "the early period of decline, the stabilization of the low level in the later period, or a slight increase." There is a pick-up pattern.

Cai Weici pointed out that the machinery industry has shifted from high-speed growth to medium-term growth. "In the future, the machinery industry will be difficult to achieve ultra-high growth, but it can still maintain a moderate growth." Cai Weici said that strategic emerging industries such as high-end equipment manufacturing will eventually become the new support point for sustained growth in the future.

Looking ahead to 2013, industry experts believe that the operating environment of the machinery industry will remain severe, domestic demand and export conditions are not expected to pick up significantly, and the market’s pressure on structural adjustments and upgrades will not be weakened, and overall the 2012 bias will continue. Tightening the situation, the entire industry still needs to have a "tight day" ideological preparations.

"The growth of 'moderate speed' is not necessarily bad." Cai Weici believes that "moderate speed" and more quality growth are more valuable than rapid but extensive growth. In the future, the machinery industry should gradually become accustomed to and devote greater attention to growth. The "moderate speed" of quality increases.

Cai Weici also stated that in view of the fact that China is still in the process of industrialization and urbanization and that all industries and industries are rushing to upgrade their technologies, the economy still has a strong internal driving force for development. At the same time, the two-year extension has significantly eased many pressures and restored. The favorable conditions for growth are accumulating, and the machinery industry must have sufficient ideological preparations for the difficult situation in the future. However, there are indeed subjective and objective conditions for a moderate rise in demand, and “should not be overly pessimistic”.